Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Wed 9.19.23

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  9/20/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 6      Race overview:  A very weak 30k N2L for f/ms going 7Fs on the main track.       Pace:  The pace seems on the modest side, so having tactical speed and the ability to lay close seems imperative.       Trends:  There’s been just four racing days, but overall, the main track has been on the fair side, with winners able to come from everywhere.       Best Play:  #6 Mean Sue (9-2): Stiff class dropper was facing much better when last seen in the…

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Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Sunday 9.17.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  9/17/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 7      Race overview:  A seemingly very weak MSW for 2yos at 6Fs on the main track.       Pace:  There’s a slew of firsters, so things should be honest, if not on the heated side, up front.      Trends:  N/A       Best Play:  #6 Max’s Map (3-1): Cox firster is owned by the Albaugh’s, who have been potent with their 2yos over the years, and this son of Liam’s Map has worked forwardly for this, and, as important as anything, catches a group that…

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Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Sat 9.16.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  9/16/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 5      Race overview:  A middling 75k N2L for 3up going 7Fs on the main track.       Pace:  There’s very little here to keep #1 QUICK HAMMER (3-1) from making the front and controlling the early tempo.      Trends:  N/A       Best Play:  #1 Quick Hammer (3-1): Expected Lone F couldn’t make a dent against allowance runners at Ellis but meets some friends here, many of which are dead one-run closers, which gives him a huge tactical edge.      Bet Types:    Aggressive WP…

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Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Fri 9.15.23

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  9/15/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 6      Race overview:  A competitive 50k starter-allowance for 3upfm going 6 ½ furlongs on the main track.       Pace:  It looks honest, and potentially on the hot side, as there are more than a few who drew wide that want to be involved early.      Trends:  N/A       Best Play:  #2 What’s to Do (5-2): Rare D’Amato claim has been freshened off an easy stalking MCL win here in June, and note she’s stayed locally and hasn’t missed a beat in the…

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Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Thurs 9.14.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  9/14/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 6      Race overview:  A solid 2yof AOC going 6 ½ furlongs on the main track.       Pace:  It looks hot and contested, as many of these lightly-raced fillies zipped on or just off the lead to break their maiden, which means this could melt down in the lane, especially at this tricky distance.      Trends:  N/A       Best Play:  #6 Raining Sugar (8-1): Stalker was visually impressive breaking her maiden at 5 ½ furlongs on debut at Ellis, and that running style will…

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Nadeau: Ky Downs Play of the Day Wed 9.13.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  9/13/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Kentucky Downs – Race 1      Race overview:  A seemingly meek MSW for 2yo fillies going 6 ½ furlongs.       Pace:  There are a slew of first-time starters entered, and the sketchy ML favorite #4 Ocean Mermaid (5-2) is fast as well, so things should be heated up front.      Trends:  N/A       Best Play:  #7 Movin’ On Up (7-2): Stalker was a good 2nd on debut for Walsh, who never cranks them and likely had this spot in mind all along, so with an expected big move…

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