Handicapping Articles

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  6/15/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Ellis Park – Race 3      Race overview:  A mixed bag of 3yo claimers going 6Fs on the main track, with several coming in off poor performances, which is not the case at all for #5 ATKINS (7-2).       Pace:  There’s no true speedster here, though several want to be close early, so the pace appears to be honest enough.      Trends:  They’ve only switched to The Pea Patch for two days of racing, and Sunday was run over a very sloppy track, so let’s take a wait-and-see approach…

Date:  6/11/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Belmont Park – Race 1      Race overview:  A relatively meek N1X going a mile on the Widener for fillies & mares, with very few who have any form or upside, which is not the case at all with #6 PARTY ON GIRL (3-1).       Pace:  It should be honest enough, as a few stretch out and have been chasing fast splits sprinting.      Trends:  The turf has been hard and fast, so the splits have been hot, and, for the most part, speed has held well.       Best Play:  #6 PARTY ON GIRL (3-1) (turf only): Stalker…

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  6/10/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Belmont Park – Race 4      Race overview:  A deep and competitive, though seemingly modest, N1X sprinting 7Fs on the main.       Pace:  There’s isn’t any, with the exception of #6 BOUNCER (6-1), who dueled through wicked splits in his comeback and looks loose here.      Trends:  The main track has played fair, with winners able to utilize all running styles, and there has been very few days where the inside has been a consistent positive or negative—however, on a big day like this, it could very well…

Happy Belmont Day!  This is the best New York racing card of the year and yes, I see you Travers card.  This year it features nine graded stakes with six Grade 1s highlighted by the Met Mile and the Belmont Stakes as well as a great match up in the Ogden Phipps.  There are a series of special wagers offered on Belmont Day and one of them is a daily double on the Met Mile and Belmont Stakes. I’ll tackle those races and have some thoughts on the all Stakes late Pick 4 as well. Have at it!  Race 10 – The Metropolitan Handicap – Grade I  One…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  6/9/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Belmont Park – Race 9      Race overview:  A sterling renewal of the (now) 1 1/16-mile G1 Acorn for 3yo fillies, which includes Kentucky Oaks winner #6 Pretty Mischievous (2-1) and the freaky-fast #5 Munnys Gold (9-5).       Pace:  Munnys Gold will be zipping along in front, but both #2 Randomized and #7 Goodgirl Badhabits will try and keep her honest.      Trends:  The main track has played fair for the most part, with winners able to utilize all running styles, and there has been very few days where…