Handicapping

Play of the Day Race Date November 11, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 1 Overview A relatively modest MCL’er with some favorites with little upside, and a Hartman-Murrill runner—#2 AMAZING ROCKET (7-2)—who could be set for a big move forward. Pace It looks on the soft side, so tactical speed is a must. Trends After the first full week of racing, it’s safe to say the track has tilted towards stalker/closers, as speed has had a hard time lasting. Best Bet AMAZING ROCKET Number 2 Morning Line (7-2) Best Bet Overview #2 AMAZING ROCKET (7-2): Turf-to-dirt runner has yet to start on the main track for Hartman but…

Play of the Day Race Date November 10, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 6 Overview A tough starter-allowance with a slew of lightly raced 2yos coming off maiden wins. Pace It look supersonic and contested, and at a tricky 6 ½ furlongs, thins could s apart in the lane. Trends After the first full week of racing, it’s safe to say the track has tilted towards stalker/closers, as speed has had a hard time lasting. Best Bet BARSTOW Number 1 Morning Line (4-1) Best Bet Overview #1 BARSTOW (4-1): Impressive Kee MCL winner steps up but is one of the few in here with a stalking gear, which…

Play of the Day Race Date November 07, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 5 Overview A modest 16k claimer with a Hartman-Murrill runner (#3 FUTILE 7-2) who seems primed for a big run. Pace It looks on the tepid side, so tactical speed is a big asset here. Trends It’s very early in the all-dirt meet, but the track has seemed fair, though speed is never a bad thing. Best Bet FUTILE Number 4 Morning Line (7-2) Best Bet Overview #4 FUTILE (7-2): Goes for a potent Hartman-Murrill duo (34%/$4.72 ROI at CD) after a big run last time, one that would definitely beat this bunch. Picks &…

Play of the Day Race Date November 04, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 8 Overview A very suspect 30k N2L with some uninspiring favorites, and a price player in #8 OOPSY DAISY (10-1) who should be able to move forward off a comeback she clearly needed. Pace It looks on the tepid side, so tactical speed is a big asset here. Trends It’s still a bit tough to say, as they have run just one card, and all 11 races were for 2yos, but winners did come from all over. Best Bet OOPSY DAISY Number 8 Morning Line (10-1) Best Bet Overview #8 OOPSY DAISY (10-1): Foley runner…

Play of the Day Race Date November 03, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 9 Overview A solid AOC with price players galore, and a potentially vulnerable favorite (#1), who rises in class off a long layoff. Pace It looks hot and contested, which could hurt the favorites who are drawn inside, while also setting it up for off-the-pace types, like #5 FEELING MISCHIEF (10-1). Trends It’s still a bit tough to say, as they have run just one card, and all 11 races were for 2yos, but winners did come from all over. Best Bet FEELING MISCHIEF Number 5 Morning Line (10-1) Best Bet Overview #5 FEELING MISCHIEF…

Play of the Day Race Date October 31, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 6 Overview A wide, wide open two-turn MSW with several different possibilities, and a race ripe for an upset, as the perceived favorites seem slow on paper. Pace There’s not a lot on paper but with several stretching out from sprints it figures to develop in some form. Trends N/A Best Bet DUNVEGAN DOLL Number 6 Morning Line (10-1) Best Bet Overview #6 DUNVEGAN DOLL (10-1): Ran sneaky-good sprinting on debut when DOB at 36-1, which suggests this was the plan all along, for a patient McPeek barn that is loaded with 2yos this year.…

Play of the Day Race Date October 30, 2021 Track Keeneland Race 9 Overview A real head-scratcher of a N2L for 2yos on turf, with several looking the same—and a bit uninspiring—on paper, and one in #9 NORTH COUNTY (12-1), who looked awesome winning on debut against lesser at Indiana Grand. Pace It should be a relatively tight group early, as there doesn’t appear to be a ton of pace in here, so, like most turf races, expect a bunched sprint in the lane. Trends The turf has been a little on the speedy side, though they are running only a few a day on it, and it…

Play of the Day Race Date October 29, 2021 Track Keeneland Race 9 Overview An absolutely sterling renewal of the G3 Valley View, with countless win possibilities, which means looking for value is imperative. Pace Thee’s not a lot here, and with an aggressive ride there’s a chance #11 LADY SPEIGHTSPEARE (10-1) gets loose, and therefore, potentially brave. Trends The turf has been a little on the speedy side, though they are running only a few a day on it, and it looked pretty beat up Wednesday, so take note of the course condition as well. Best Bet LADY SPEIGHTSPEARE Number 11 Morning Line (10-1) Best Bet Overview…