Play of the Day
Race Date November 27, 2021
Track Churchill Downs
Race 8
Overview A wide, wide open two-turn AOC for 2yos where several of the favorites are tough to trust, which therefore makes this a very appealing race to go price shopping.
Pace There seems to be plenty here, so I’m leaning towards those who have shown the ability to settle and pass horses late.
Trends The track continues to play honest, with speed holding, though stalker/closers still had a fair go of it too.
Number 8
Morning Line (12-1)
Best Bet Overview #8 KEVIN’S FOLLY (12-1): Price player had zero chance from the parking lot in the G1 last time but drew better here, drops drastically in class, and should close late, as he did when 3rd in the G1 Hopeful two-back.
Picks & Plays WPS bet and a must-use in the middle Pk5/Pk4, and to kick off the late Pk5 as well.
Stats 2021: 283-64-43-37 ($1.50/$4.76 ROI overall through 11/21) CD Meet: 136-46-19-18 ($2.32/$5.94 ROI through 11/21)