Handicapping

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  6/7/24      Featured track  Saratoga       Race number  2       Race overview  A very deep and competitive AOC for 3up going 1 ¼ miles on the main track.       Pace  It’s unlikely there will be much pace on going this far, which should temper things early, and turn this into a sprint off the far turn.      Trends  The simple obvious answer is N/A, as this is a stand-alone four-day meet, but the gut says the track will be tight and speedy, and will play to speed, but obviously monitor that as…

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  6/6/24      Featured track  Saratoga       Race number  3       Race overview  A deep and competitive 3up NYB N1X going 7Fs on the main track.       Pace  There appears to be some zip here, and at this tricky 7F trip, things tend to get heated early, which means a stalking gear will play well.      Trends  The simple obvious answer is N/A, as this is a stand-alone four-day meet, but the gut says the track will be tight and speedy, and will play to speed, but obviously monitor that as the…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  6/5/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs      Race number  3       Race overview  A modest 30k MCL for 3up going 6Fs on the main track.       Pace  There appears to be enough inside speed to set this up for a stalker, especially since it could catch up the ML favorite, #2 Air Force Cruising (5-2) in the process.      Trends  The main track has been remarkably consistent all meet, with few, if any path biases, and all running styles having a fair go of it more often than not.      Best…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  6/2/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs      Race number  5       Race overview  A deep and competitive 30k N2L for 3up going 6Fs on the main track.       Pace  Things looks honest up front, though there are no real burners either, who want to set torrid splits, so this seems like a forward race that will be won close to the pace.      Trends  The main track has been remarkably consistent all meet, with few, if any path biases, and all running styles having a fair go of it more often than…

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  6/1/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs      Race number  4       Race overview  A weak but full field MSW for fms going 1-mile on the main track.       Pace  There’s very little here, especially with 12 of them lining up, so expect things to be tempered early, which means tactical speed is at a premium.      Trends  The main track has been remarkably consistent all meet, with few, if any path biases, and all running styles having a fair go of it more often than not.      Best Play  #3…

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  5/31/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs      Race number  3       Race overview  A deep and competitive 50k N2L for 3upfm at 6Fs on the main track.       Pace  It looks honest enough, as there are more than a few who want to be close to the front early, though there aren’t any pure burners signed on either.      Trends  The main track has been remarkably consistent all meet, with few, if any path biases, and all running styles having a fair go of it more often than not.     …

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  5/30/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs      Race number  3       Race overview  A deep and competitive 32k claimer for 4up going 1 1/16 miles on the main track.       Pace  Pace makes the race and there’s plenty of it here, especially on the outside and from some key contenders too, so there’s a chance this falls apart in the lane.      Trends  The main track has been remarkably consistent all meet, with few, if any path biases, and all running styles having a fair go of it more often than not. …

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  5/27/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs      Race number  3       Race overview  A seemingly weak restricted MSW for 2yo fillies going 5Fs on the main track.       Pace  It’s a full field sprinting, so things should be moving up front.      Trends  The main track seemed to play a bit forward last week, though nothing too out of the ordinary.      Best Play  #8 KISS CAM (3-1): Open MSW dropper also goes to Sweezey, who has been having a banner year, while routinely moving new horses up, and after…

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  5/26/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs      Race number  5       Race overview  A deep and competitive 10k MCL for 3up going 6 ½ furlongs on the main track.       Pace  For a full field in a dirt sprint, there doesn’t appear too much, at least on paper, so tactical speed seems a premium.      Trends  The main track seemed to play a bit forward last week, though nothing too out of the ordinary.      Best Play  #4 REMEMBER THE FEAR (5-1): MSW dropper and returnee hasn’t been out since…

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  5/25/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs      Race number  3       Race overview  A solid restricted MSW for 3yofs going 6Fs on the main track.       Pace  There’s plenty here in this field-of-10, as more than a few want to be involved early and often.      Trends  The main track seemed to play a bit forward last week, though nothing too out of the ordinary.      Best Play  #2 MO FOR US (5-2): Class dropper exits a very strong 2nd against and open field of MSW runners at OP, so…