PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                   
   
Date:  11/20/2022 
   
Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 2 
   
Race overview:  A seemingly average 2yo MSW for restricted sale horses, which makes stiff open MSW dropper #8 MIDSUMMER SOIREE (5-2) look mighty tough. 
   
Pace:  It should be honest, as the pick will be involved throughout, and there are some expected fast firsters entered too. 
   
Trends:  The main track played on the fair side last week, as winners came from everywhere, though being down inside seemed preferred. 
   
Best Play:  #8 MIDSUMMER SOIREE (5-2): Bargain 10k buy set the pace against open maidens on debut before tiring, so this is a seismic class drop, for the potent team of Hartman and Murrill (29%). 
   
Bet Types:    Aggressive win bet at 9-5 or better and single in the early Pk5, and to kick off the Pk4 as well. 
   
Meet/POD Stats:  CD Meet: 86-20-13-16 ($1.43/$4.57 ROI through 11/13) 

CD POD: 8-2-1-0 ($1.38/$3.63 ROI through 11/13)