PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                   
   
Date:  11/18/2022 
   
Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 5 
   
Race overview:  A weak 3up 20k claimer at 1 1/16 miles, with class-dropping #1 BALLINONABUDJET (5-2) seemingly holding all the aces. 
   
Pace:  There’s very little entered on paper, so expect a bunched field throughout, with a sprint off the far turn. 
   
Trends:  The main track played on the fair side last week, as winners came from everywhere, though being down inside seemed preferred. 
   
Best Play:  #1 BALLINONABUDJET (5-2): Dropper has been facing tons better—while more than holding his own—drew perfectly for this two-turn route, and meets a very modest field, even for this reduced level. 
   
Bet Types:    Aggressive WP bet and single to end the early Pk5/Pk4 as well. 
   
Meet/POD Stats:  CD Meet: 86-20-13-16 ($1.43/$4.57 ROI through 11/13) 

CD POD: 8-2-1-0 ($1.38/$3.63 ROI through 11/13)