Play of the Day – November 17th 2021

Play of the Day Race Date November 17, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 7 Overview A very strong 20k starter-allowance with a trio of classy, in-form runners. Pace It should be very hot and very contested, with both (ML) favorites, #4 Inthemidstofbiz (8-5) and #8 Lady of Luxury (2-1) expecting to mix it up early and often. Trends The track was much more honest last week, with speed holding nicely, though stalker/closers still had a fair go of it too. Best Bet FLAT AWESOME JENNY Number 1 Morning Line (5-2) Best Bet Overview #1 FLAT AWESOME JENNY (5-2): Stretch runner looked good winning off last time at the…

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Play of the Day – November 14th 2021

Play of the Day Race Date November 14, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 3 Overview A low-level N2L with a group of meek locals and a newcomer in #5 ZERO POINT ZERO (7-2) who seems primed to make a big dent. Pace There’s not a ton here, as #1 should be going from the rail, which will put #5 ZERO POINT ZERO (7-2) in the perfect outside pressing spot. Trends After the first full week of racing, it’s safe to say the track has tilted towards stalker/closers, as speed has had a hard time lasting. Best Bet ZERO POINT ZERO Number 5 Morning Line (7-2) Best Bet Overview…

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Play of the Day – November 13th 2021

Play of the Day Race Date November 13, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 8 Overview An MSW for 2yos that is there for the taking, with a runner in #5 MASK PATROL (4-1) who looks poised for a breakthrough. Pace There should be some here, as several of these lightly raced 2yos are stretching out to a one-turn mile, which can often create fast fractions. Trends After the first full week of racing, it’s safe to say the track has tilted towards stalker/closers, as speed has had a hard time lasting. Best Bet MASK PATROL Number 5 Morning Line (4-1) Best Bet Overview #5 MASK PATROL (4-1): Walsh…

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Play of the Day – November 12th 2021

Play of the Day Race Date November 12, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 6 Overview A wildly competitive AOC, which means looking for value seems imperative. Pace Expect #1 Vulcan (12-1) to go from the inside, which means #8 COLONEL BOWMAN (9-2) should be in the perfect spot pressing from the outside. Trends After the first full week of racing, it’s safe to say the track has tilted towards stalker/closers, as speed has had a hard time lasting. Best Bet COLONEL BOWMAN Number 8 Morning Line (9-2) Best Bet Overview #8 COLONEL BOWMAN (9-2): Expected pace presser cuts back too, after a middling 4th in the Ellis Park…

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Play of the Day – November 11th 2021

Play of the Day Race Date November 11, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 1 Overview A relatively modest MCL’er with some favorites with little upside, and a Hartman-Murrill runner—#2 AMAZING ROCKET (7-2)—who could be set for a big move forward. Pace It looks on the soft side, so tactical speed is a must. Trends After the first full week of racing, it’s safe to say the track has tilted towards stalker/closers, as speed has had a hard time lasting. Best Bet AMAZING ROCKET Number 2 Morning Line (7-2) Best Bet Overview #2 AMAZING ROCKET (7-2): Turf-to-dirt runner has yet to start on the main track for Hartman but…

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Play of the Day – November 10th 2021

Play of the Day Race Date November 10, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 6 Overview A tough starter-allowance with a slew of lightly raced 2yos coming off maiden wins. Pace It look supersonic and contested, and at a tricky 6 ½ furlongs, thins could s apart in the lane. Trends After the first full week of racing, it’s safe to say the track has tilted towards stalker/closers, as speed has had a hard time lasting. Best Bet BARSTOW Number 1 Morning Line (4-1) Best Bet Overview #1 BARSTOW (4-1): Impressive Kee MCL winner steps up but is one of the few in here with a stalking gear, which…

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Play of the Day – November 7th 2021

Play of the Day Race Date November 07, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 5 Overview A modest 16k claimer with a Hartman-Murrill runner (#3 FUTILE 7-2) who seems primed for a big run. Pace It looks on the tepid side, so tactical speed is a big asset here. Trends It’s very early in the all-dirt meet, but the track has seemed fair, though speed is never a bad thing. Best Bet FUTILE Number 4 Morning Line (7-2) Best Bet Overview #4 FUTILE (7-2): Goes for a potent Hartman-Murrill duo (34%/$4.72 ROI at CD) after a big run last time, one that would definitely beat this bunch. Picks &…

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Breeders’ Cup 2021 Day 2 Preview

Today is THE day – nine Breeders’ Cup races highlighted by the $4 million Breeders’ Cup Turf and the $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic. I’ll tackle those two headline Breeders’ Cup races here. The best of the best are here for these two headlining races and you can make good cases for five or six entrants in each. This of course leads to great prices in many Breeders’ Cup races and those Breeders’ Cup exotic payouts tend to be very juicy due to the size of the fields and the way money is spread throughout the pools.

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Breeders’ Cup Future Stars Preview

There are five Breeders’ Cup races on the card today headlined by the $2 million Juvenile Fillies and the $2 million Juvenile. I like the “themed” approach to Friday but personally I would go back to the Friday Breeders’ Cup day as an “Oaks Day” where they run all the filly and mare races. This has the benefit of giving our best fillies and mares top billing on Friday in the Distaff rather than having them buried inside the star studded Saturday card. But things evolve and it has become “Future Stars Friday” which is a perfectly fine alternative and better than just picking five races with no theme at all.

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