PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                   
   
Date  11/29/25 
   
Featured track  Churchill Downs  
   
Race number  3 
   
Race overview  A seemingly modest (on paper) MSW for 2yofs at 7 furlongs. 
   
Pace  It’s a full field with plenty of first-time starters, so things figure fast, and potentially contested, up front early. 
   
Trends  The main track was muddy or sloppy and sealed all week but Sunday, so you can’t garner anything there, though it’s been very fair throughout the meet when fast. 
   
Best Play  #12 PRESUMPTUOUS (3-1): Godolphin blueblood was a chase-and-tire 5th on debut for Walsh, who rarely cranks them, but it was a fast race for the level, and she has a big experience edge over a group of firsters that doesn’t look all that tough. 
   
Bet Types    Aggressive WP bet, and single in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well. 
   
Play of the Day Winners  CD Meet: 178-61-17-27 ($2.26/$5.63 ROI since 11/23) 

CD POD: 17-7-1-4 ($2.00/$5.33 ROI since 11/23)