Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Fri 5.23.25
| “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau | |
| Date | 5/23/25 |
| Featured track | Churchill Downs |
| Race number | 4 |
| Race overview | A very weak MSW for 2yos at 5Fs on the turf. |
| Pace | On paper there’s not much here, with the obvious exception of
#7 OUTFIELDER (5-2), who looks like a pure speedball (in the AM) for ace 2yo debut trainer Ward. |
| Trends | They haven’t run too many turf races, but over a firm course last week, speed held well in the sprints. |
| Best Play | #7 OUTFIELDER (5-2) (turf or dirt): Ward firster cost 850k and has a nice pedigree, goes for a 31% debut barn, meets no one at all to be scared of on paper, and has worked absolutely huge for this as well, while noting go-to rider Velazquez is in for the mount. |
| Bet Types | Expect 7-5 or so, and make an aggressive win bet, though get some built-in value by singling in all the horizontals. |
| Play of the Day Winners | CD POD: 123-35-22-14 ($1.94/$4.78 ROI through 5/18)
CD Meet: 11-3-0-2 ($1.58/$3.91 ROI through 5/18)
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