Saturday 3-23-2019
Fair Grounds Race 13
1 1/8 M
Louisiana Derby
Purse: $ 1,000,000
Pace Factor
The pace of the race should be set by #7 Mr Money. The horses taking stalking roles should be #10 Spinoff, #6 War of Will and #2 Lemniscate. The horse that has shown closing speed is #8 Country House.
Key Percentages
#1 Roiland … Listed jockey is winning at a 17% clip.
Recent Trends
#6 War of Will … Horse is two for two at Fair Grounds.
Overall View
Saturday afternoon at The Fair Grounds is a huge card Highlighted by the Louisiana Derby, a big Kentucky Derby Prep race. The under card is fantastic as well, including the fillies running for Kentucky Oaks points and the return of Pegasus World Cup Turf Champion, Bricks and Mortar. War of Will has beaten my selections twice now and I will include him in my mix but I am going to try and beat him again today with some early speed. Spinoff is coming into the race after a very impressive O/C win at Tampa last time out. Tampa has a deep main track and in Spinoff’s win, the horse looked to have another gear for trainer Todd Pletcher. Fair Grounds is a tough place to go wire to wire, so a sweeping stalking role is ideal for Spinoff and John Velazquez. Country house ran a very nice second behind War of Will last time out in his first race against winners. The ML price is solid for the Bill Mott runner and should improve off the last effort. War of Will, with a victory, will be a very tough customer the first Saturday of May but I will try and beat him again with some prices.
Picks: 10-6-8-3
