Nadeau: Gulfstream Play of the Day Sun 3.12.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  3/12/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Gulfstream Park – Race 2      Race overview:  A weak 12.5k MCL routing on the Tapeta, with several stuck in neutral, and an MSW dropper in #2 SHAKE YOUR BONES (5-2) with plenty of upside.       Pace:  It should be honest, as more than a few have been involved early of late, while there are a couple stretching out as well.      Trends:  Stalker/closers have an edge routing on Tapeta, as speed doesn’t hold as well—no matter how slow they go early.       Best Play:  #2 SHAKE YOUR…

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Nadeau: Gulfstream Play of the Day 3.11.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  3/11/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Gulfstream Park – Race 10       Race overview:  A very strong AOC sprinting on the main with several talented in-from runners and a few more returning off long layoffs.       Pace:  It looks hot and contested, as several want to be involved early and often, which tactical speed will come in handy.      Trends:  You want to be close sprinting on the main, as horses just don’t make up significant ground unless a total meltdown ensues.       Best Play:  #3 STARSHIP RENEGADE (3-1): Versatile sort backed up the…

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Nadeau: Play of the Day Fri 3.10.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  3/10/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Gulfstream Park – Race 3      Race overview:  A relatively modest 20k N2L sprinting on the main, with a few who have the for to win, but the class dropper #6 ONE AMERICA (3-1) who looks the controlling speed.       Pace:  There’s a ton here, which means #6 ONE AMERICA (3-1) should be able to control thing on the front end.      Trends:  You want to be close sprinting on the main, as horses just don’t make up significant ground unless a total meltdown ensues.       Best Play: …

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Nadeau: Play of the Day Thurs 3.9.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  3/9/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Gulfstream Park – Race 1      Race overview:  A competitive 16k claimer routing on the turf, with class-dropping #4 SANDPIPER MEMORIES (7-2) looming very large.       Pace:  There’s enough here, as more than a few want to be close early, which means a stalking gear should play well.      Trends:  You want to be close on the turf, as horses aren’t going to make up a ton of ground if they can’t get into position early.       Best Play:  #4 SANDPIPER MEMORIES (7-2) (turf only): Stiff class dropper…

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Nadeau: Play of the Day Wed 3.8.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  3/8/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Gulfstream Park – Race 4      Race overview:  A low-level N2L sprinting 7Fs on the main, with little trust, though the class-dropping #2 MOPED DENNIS (7-2) seems to have found a good spot.       Pace:  There’s a ton here, which means #2 MOPED DENNIS (7-2) should be prominent throughout, which is never a bad thing when you’re facing a group like this.      Trends:  You want to be close sprinting on the main, as horses just don’t make up significant ground unless a total meltdown ensues.       Best…

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Nadeau: Gulfstream Play of the Day Sun 3.5.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  3/5/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Gulfstream Park – Race 9      Race overview:  A deep and competitive 10k claimer routing on the Tapeta, with several different ways to go, which is why singling for value is a good way to go.       Pace:  There’s not a ton here, so expect a bunched group that is slow early and fast late, which means tactical speed is at a premium.      Trends:  Speed tends to come back routing on the Tapeta, so stalker/closers are preferred.        Best Play:  #10 Veloce (4-1): Stalker ran huge last…

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Applebee: Closer look – Gotham / Fountain of Youth

Happy Fountain of Youth Day!  We have entered the “Championship Series” portion of Derby preps as the Derby points are 50-20-15-10-5. A win in today’s preps will earn the winner enough points to make the Derby field.  Aqueduct Race 9  – The Gotham – Grade III  One Mile on the Dirt for Three Year Olds   The Gotham occupies an interesting spot on the Derby calendar. New York has already run two nine furlong Derby preps (Remsen and Withers), but today we turn back to the flat mile.  There is a ton of early pace signed up here – but there are no obvious closers.  It’s definitely a spread…

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Nadeau: Play of the Day Sat 3.4.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  3/4/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Gulfstream Park – Race 12      Race overview:  An extremely strong renewal of the G2 Davona Dale, which stretches out the 3yo fillies to a one-turn mile.       Pace:  Oddly enough, for a 12-horse field full of talent and several who stretch out, there’s not a ton of sprint speed, which means you better be close early because it won’t be easy to pass late.      Trends:  You want to be close on the main regardless of the trip, but if a pace develops, you can close at this…

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Nadeau: Gulfstream Play of the Day Fri 3.3.23

Date: 3/3/2023 Featured Track/Race: Gulfstream Park – Race 8   Race overview: A very competitive AOC routing on the turf for state breds, which could go a number of different ways.   Pace: It should be honest, as more than a few want to be involved early, which ensures no one should clear off. Trends: You want to be close on the turf, as closers rarely get up in time.   Best Play: #1 JUDGE JUDITH (7-2) (turf or Tapeta): Tactical miss was (for some reason) taken out of her game last time and raced out the back, yet still ran on and had some trouble to boot…

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Nadeau: Gulfstream Play of the Day Thurs 3.2.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  3/2/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Gulfstream Park – Race 4      Race overview:  A tricky 7F low-level claimer sprinting on the main, with a lot of speed and trustworthy runners       Pace:  There’s a ton here, and none of it seems a cinch to last, as several come in off extremely poor runs.      Trends:  You want to be close sprinting on the main, though at 7Fs things can fall apart a bit if it gets too hot early.       Best Play:  #3 PURE SPEIGHT (5-1): Class dropper was facing 12.5ks on the…

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