Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Mon 5.27.24

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  5/27/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs      Race number  3       Race overview  A seemingly weak restricted MSW for 2yo fillies going 5Fs on the main track.       Pace  It’s a full field sprinting, so things should be moving up front.      Trends  The main track seemed to play a bit forward last week, though nothing too out of the ordinary.      Best Play  #8 KISS CAM (3-1): Open MSW dropper also goes to Sweezey, who has been having a banner year, while routinely moving new horses up, and after…

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Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Sun 5.26.24

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  5/26/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs      Race number  5       Race overview  A deep and competitive 10k MCL for 3up going 6 ½ furlongs on the main track.       Pace  For a full field in a dirt sprint, there doesn’t appear too much, at least on paper, so tactical speed seems a premium.      Trends  The main track seemed to play a bit forward last week, though nothing too out of the ordinary.      Best Play  #4 REMEMBER THE FEAR (5-1): MSW dropper and returnee hasn’t been out since…

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Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Sat 5.25.24

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  5/25/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs      Race number  3       Race overview  A solid restricted MSW for 3yofs going 6Fs on the main track.       Pace  There’s plenty here in this field-of-10, as more than a few want to be involved early and often.      Trends  The main track seemed to play a bit forward last week, though nothing too out of the ordinary.      Best Play  #2 MO FOR US (5-2): Class dropper exits a very strong 2nd against and open field of MSW runners at OP, so…

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Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Fri 5.24.24

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  5/24/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs      Race number  4       Race overview  A solid 30k MCL for 3upfm going 1 1/16 miles on the main track.       Pace  There’s very little here, so expect a bunched group throughout, and a sprint off the far turn.      Trends  The main track seemed to play a bit forward last week, though nothing too out of the ordinary.      Best Play  #6 MISS HARMONIC (3-1): Amoss claim drops in class and gets a big trainer switch, plus runs at a more proper…

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Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Thurs 5.23.24

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  5/23/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs      Race number  1       Race overview  A competitive 50k N2L for 3upfm going 1-mile on the main track.       Pace  There’s not a lot here, and these one-turn mile races can get strung out a bit, so they usually play to speed, as it’s tough to make up ground when you get to the far turn.      Trends  The main track seemed to play a bit forward last week, though nothing too out of the ordinary.      Best Play  #3 MITOLE’S LEGACY (4-1): Pace…

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Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Sun 5.19.24

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  5/19/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs      Race number  8       Race overview  A deep and competitive AOC for 3upfm going 1-mile on the turf.       Pace  There’s seemingly plenty here, as a few on the inside want to go, s well as a few from the outside, so a stalking gear seems imperative.       Trends  N/A      Best Play  #3 JUSTIFIABLE BELLE (10-1) (turf only): Stalker came back from a long layoff to win a N1X in style, has the right running style to sit the trip here, and…

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Nadeau: Pimlico Play of the Day Sat 5.18.24

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  5/18/24      Featured track  Pimlico      Race number  11       Race overview  A deep renewal of the Jim McKay Turf Sprint, for 3up going 5Fs on the turf.       Pace  It’s a full field of turf stakes sprinters, several of which want to motor early, so things look extremely hot and contented up front.      Trends  N/A      Best Play  #12 BEER CAN MAN (5-2) (turf only): Defending champion was thrown to the wolves in a tough Kee G2 off the long layoff, in a race he obviously needed, but with…

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Nadeau: Pimlico Play of the Day Fri 5.17.24

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  5/17/24      Featured track  Pimlico      Race number  8       Race overview  A solid renewal of the Allaire Dupont Distaff, for 3upfm going 1 1/8 miles on the main track.       Pace  Don’t expect much heat here, as there are no true speed horses, and this could play like a turf race, slow early and a sprint late.      Trends  N/A      Best Play  #8 SHOTGUN HOTTIE (9-5): The class has been facing tons better and holding her own, has the speed to be close throughout, and could actually offer a…

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Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Thurs 5.16.24

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  5/16/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs        Race number  4       Race overview  A full field but a relatively modest group in a N1X for 3upfm going 5 Fs on the turf.       Pace  It’s a turf sprint, so thing should be honest up front, as more than a few want to motor early.       Trends  N/A      Best Play  #8 TWIRL AROUND (5-2) (turf only): Stalker came back running at Kee, for a Foley barn that always aims here, so she looks primed, which is more than you can say…

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Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Sun 5.12.24

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  5/12/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs        Race number  9       Race overview  An extremely weak N1X for 3up going 1 1/8 miles on the turf.       Pace  It seems honest enough for a turf route going this far, as there are more than a few who want to attend to things early, though the splits likely won’t be all that fast either.      Trends  N/A      Best Play  #2 Athens Moon (3-1) (turf only): Stalker didn’t fire at FG off the claim but it was a close 8th, but…

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