Author Archives: Brian Nadeau

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  11/19/2022      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 1      Race overview:  A non-descript 15k MCL sprinting, with several who come in off duds, while #6 SUPE (5-1) woke way up on the dirt last time.       Pace:  It’s a full field sprinting on the main, so while it doesn’t look overly hot, it should be honest enough.      Trends:  The main track played on the fair side last week, as winners came from everywhere, though being down inside seemed preferred.       Best Play:  #6 SUPE (5-1): Lightly raced runner tried dirt…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  11/18/2022      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 5      Race overview:  A weak 3up 20k claimer at 1 1/16 miles, with class-dropping #1 BALLINONABUDJET (5-2) seemingly holding all the aces.       Pace:  There’s very little entered on paper, so expect a bunched field throughout, with a sprint off the far turn.      Trends:  The main track played on the fair side last week, as winners came from everywhere, though being down inside seemed preferred.       Best Play:  #1 BALLINONABUDJET (5-2): Dropper has been facing tons better—while more than holding his own—drew…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  11/17/2022      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 6      Race overview:  A decent 32k claimer sprinting on the main, with a few class risers in off good runs, and a few dropping off suspect ones.       Pace:  There’s not a ton here, which means #1 ASH FLAT (5-1) should be able to control from inside early, especially since he’s facing much easier this time.      Trends:  The main track played on the fair side last week, as winners came from everywhere, though being down inside seemed preferred.       Best Play:  #1…

    Date:  11/16/2022      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 3      Race overview:  A decent group of local 25k claimers, but one that is vulnerable to a sharp newcomer, and GP invader #6 AIN’T WASTING TIME (4-1) fits the bill perfectly.       Pace:  There’s not a ton here, so having some tactical speed is key.      Trends:  The main track played on the fair side last week, as winners came from everywhere, though being down inside seemed preferred.       Best Play:  #6 AIN’T WASTING TIME (4-1): GP runners enters in strong form and looked good winning last time, drew perfectly, and…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  11/13/2022      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 2      Race overview:  A very strong group of 20k claimers sprinting, with several who enter in very sharp recent form.       Pace:  It looks very honest, which suggests winning this on the front might be a bit too tough.      Trends:  N/A – Note that this week we will finally have a full week of racing to measure the main track by, as it’s been too hit-or-miss so far, with the BC at Keeneland in the middle.       Best Play:  #8 AGGRESSIVITY (4-1):…