
Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Wed 6.18.25
“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau | |
Date | 6/18/25 |
Featured track | Churchill Downs |
Race number | 9 |
Race overview | A full field of 30k 3up MCL’ers at 6 ½ furlongs on the main track. |
Pace | There’s 12 entered, though there aren’t a ton of burners (#10 Spy offers cheap speed), which means you likely will need to be close early on, which should put #12 HARBE (4-1) in a perfect spot. |
Trends | A drying out main track played fair both Saturday and Sunday, after heavy rains left things sloppy and sealed Friday. |
Best Play | #12 HARBE (12-1): Expected pace presser takes the MSW drop after getting worse and worse in his three starts, including a no-sho in the slop last time, but this is a huge plunge and Crichton is sharp and still not giving him away, which says he can break through against this mixed bag today. |
Bet Types | Aggressive WP bet and single to end the early late Pk5/Pk4 as well. |
Play of the Day Winners | CD POD: 207-58-35-30 (1.86/$5.65 ROI through 6/1)
CD Meet: 20-6-1-3 ($1.42/$4.67 ROI through 6/1)
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