Play of the Day
Race Date November 18, 2021
Track Churchill Downs
Race 9
Overview A non-descript 2yo MCL with no standouts, and a class dropper in #7 NAPA VALLEY (6-1) that seems poised for a breakthrough.
Pace There should be plenty here, with a full field of lightly raced 2yos, several who are dropping in class as well.
Trends The track was much more honest last week, with speed holding nicely, though stalker/closers still had a fair go of it too.
Number 7
Morning Line (6-1)
Best Bet Overview #7 NAPA VALLEY (6-1): MSW dropper goes from Pletcher to Brissett, who is 20% with newcomers and 36% on this kind of drop, and the fields this one has faced dwarf this modest group.
Picks & Plays WPS bet and a must-use/potential single to end the late Pk5/Pk4 as well.
Stats 2021: 278-63-41-36 ($1.50/$4.72 ROI overall through 11/14) CD Meet: 89-27-12-14 ($2.23/$5.68 ROI through 11/14)