Play of the Day
Race Date November 12, 2021
Track Churchill Downs
Race 6
Overview A wildly competitive AOC, which means looking for value seems imperative.
Pace Expect #1 Vulcan (12-1) to go from the inside, which means #8 COLONEL BOWMAN (9-2) should be in the perfect spot pressing from the outside.
Trends After the first full week of racing, it’s safe to say the track has tilted towards stalker/closers, as speed has had a hard time lasting.
Number 8
Morning Line (9-2)
Best Bet Overview #8 COLONEL BOWMAN (9-2): Expected pace presser cuts back too, after a middling 4th in the Ellis Park Derby, but he’s perfectly drawn here, which will allow first run on the stalker/closers, and the win two-back makes him a threat, not to mention there’s plenty of upside here as well.
Picks & Plays Aggressive WP bet and must-use in the late Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well.
Stats 2021: 273-63-41-34 ($1.53/$4.79 ROI overall through 11/7) CD Meet: 41-17-4-6 ($3.36/$7.55 ROI through 11/7)