Play of the Day
Race Date April 01, 2021
Track Churchill Downs
Race 10
Overview A sterling renewal of the G1 Churchill Downs, in terms of betting, as there are several different ways you can go in a race that is there for the taking.
Pace It should be honest, but not overly fast or supersonic, which you can sometimes get in this race, which says you want tactical speed, at the very least.
Trends The main track has been VERY speedy during the week, regardless of the surface condition, and it’s been very tough to pass, so make sure to keep that in mind, especially since it could be souped up and fast and speedy on a big race day.
Best Bet MIND CONTROL
Number 2
Morning Line (6-1)
Best Bet Overview #2 MIND CONTROL (6-1): Stalker had no chance behind dawdling splits in the G1 Carter yet rallied nicely from 4th to be 2nd behind arguably the best dirt sprinter in the country. And it’s worth noting that he raced without Lasix that day, and still fired a huge shot, which is something a lot of these have yet to show they can do, but will have to to win this.
Picks & Plays Aggressive WPS bet and a bold single in all horizontal exotics.
Stats 154-33-19-17 ($1.64/$4.84 ROI through 4/27) CD Meet: 19-1-5-4 ($0.17/$2.77 ROI through 4/27)