Play of the Day
Race Date March 20, 2021
Track Fair Grounds
Race 14
Overview A stellar renewal of the Louisiana Derby (G2), as the local top-3 have been great all winter, and there are some solid outside invaders as well.
Pace It should be middling, as there is some longshot inside speed (#2 Rightandjust 20-1), as well as some stalkers like #6 Mandaloun (8-5).
Trends Being close on the dirt has been the way to go throughout the meet, as come-from-behind closers are up against it, regardless of the long stretch.
Number 6
Morning Line (8-5)
Best Bet Overview #6 MANDALOUN (8-5): The deserving favorite added blinkers in the local Risen Star (G2) and looked like a new horse, should only appreciate the added distance, and has a running style to sit just off the speed and get first run on the stalker/closers.
Picks & Plays Aggressive win bet at 6-5 or better, strong EX 6-4, though his real value comes in ending the estimated 750k guaranteed all-stakes late Pk5/Pk4, as you can single him, and spread deeper in the preceding races.
Stats 128-28-17-9 ($1.83/$4.94 ROI through 3/14) GP Meet: 781-208-133-118 ($1.75/$5.08 ROI through 3/14)