Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Thurs 5.25.23
| “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau | |
| Date: | 5/25/2023 |
| Featured Track/Race: | Churchill Downs – Race 3 |
| Race overview: | A modest 30k N2L routing on the main, with a field-of-6 that looks much the same on paper. |
| Pace: | There’s not much here, which means sitting close looks imperative. |
| Trends: | With the exception of Saturday’s drying out track (which typically always play to off-the-pace types), the main track was playing to speed throughout the week. |
| Best Play: | #3 WINDY BAY (7-2): Pace player should be on or just off the early lead, was just a solid 4th while trying winners, and goes off-the-claim for Van Berg (13%), so improvement may be coming. |
| Bet Types: | Aggressive WP bet and single in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well. |
| Meet/POD Stats: | CD Meet: 122-18-19-12 ($1.47/$4.32 ROI through 5/21)
CD POD: 12-2-3-0 ($1.77/$4.73 ROI through 5/21)
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