Play of the Day
Race Date April 21, 2021
Track Keeneland
Race 5
Overview A non-descript MSW for 3yos that looks there for the taking if someone should produce a breakthrough run.
Pace It should be honest, as there are several lightly-raced runners, several who are stretching out and seeing a clubhouse turn for the first time as well.
Trends It’s tough to see any visible trends on the turf, as they usually just card a few a day (during the week), but for the most part the course can be demanding, at least in routes, and therefore I tend to side with stalker/closers.
Best Bet SNOW HOUSE
Number 3
Morning Line (7-2)
Best Bet Overview #3 SNOW HOUSE (7-2) (turf or dirt): Opened very DOB at FG and got a rough trip, never settling while encountering plenty of traffic, yet he ran on with interest and should be a lot closer early with Geroux getting aboard.
Picks & Plays Aggressive WP bet at 5-2 or better and single to end the early Pk5/Pk4, and in the late Pk5 and to kick off the late Pk5 as well.
Stats 144-31-19-14 ($1.66/$4.91 ROI through 4/11) Kee Meet: 69-14-13-9 ($1.27/$4.76 ROI through 4/11)