Capital OTB’s “Featured Race of the Day”

Every racing day, Capital OTB will be providing you with a “Featured Race of the Day”. We will identify the pace of the race, tactical advantages, key percentages, recent trends, and other helpful hints. All for the purposes of seeing you win big!

Saturday 09-23-2017

Parx Race 11

1 1/8 M

The Pennsylvania Derby

Purse: $ 1,000,000

Pace Factor

The pace of the race should be set by #1 Timeline (ML 5-1) and #4 West Coast (ML 8-5). The horses taking stalking roles should be #2 Outplay (ML 12-1), #6 Talk Logistics (ML 20-1), #8 Irish War Cry (ML 9-2) and #9 Term of Art (ML 20-1). The horses that have shown closing speed are #10 Giuseppe the Great (ML 20-1) and #5 Irap (ML 3-1).

Key Percentages

#4 West Coast (ML 8-5) … Trainer is winning at a 31% clip in 2017 … makes first start at Parx in 2017

Recent Trends

#2 Outplay (ML 12-1) and #6 Talk Logistics (ML 20-1) … only horses in the field with starts and wins at Parx.

Overall View

The Pennsylvania Derby at Parx. Parx usually is a speed favored track and today should not be any different. Trainer of #4 West Coast, Bob Baffert has the potential to have a big day with the two favorites on the cards feature races (Abel Tasman in the Cotillion race 10 and West Coast in the Pennsylvania Derby.) West Coast emerged on the racing scene in 2017 with an impressive win at Belmont Park on Belmont Stakes day and in the Travers at Saratoga. The dynamic duo of jockey Mike Smith and Baffert keep winning big races at every track in the country. Today they have the best shot, but Irap on paper looks too good to ignore. Irap ran a great race at the Travers and in the Indiana Derby winning that race by 5 lengths. Mario Guiterrez is up for trainer Doug O’Neil who are also a dynamic duo in 2017. Irap won the Bluegrass at Keeneland last spring at 31-1 and did not really run well in the slop at the Kentucky Derby. The horse has improved since the Blue Grass. To win the race Mario cannot be 5 lengths off of West Coast and another horse needs to push the pace. West Coast will run in the money, especially because speed kills at Parx. A closer will come in late at a price to complete tri’s and super’s.

Picks: 5-10-4-2

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Sullivan Crotty

About Sullivan Crotty

Sullivan grew up two blocks from Saratoga Race Course, got involved with horse racing from his father at a young age, who used to breed and own race horses. Graduated from Christian Brothers Academy in Albany, NY. He played college football at Assumption College in Worcester, MA.

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