Capital OTB’s “Featured Race of the Day”

 

Every racing day, Capital OTB will be providing you with a “Featured Race of the Day”. We will identify the pace of the race, tactical advantages, key percentages, recent trends, and other helpful hints. All for the purposes of seeing you win big!

See below today’s “Featured Race of the Day”

 

Friday 05-26-17

Churchill Race 8

1 M on the Turf

Allowance

Purse: $51,000

Pace Factor

The pace should be set by #10 Juno Moon (ML 6-1). The horses running behind the front runner should be #1 Prudence (ML 5-1), #11 Lola’s the One (ML 20-1) and #12 Ellens Birthday (ML 20-1). The horses that have shown closing ability are #2 Grand Vegas (ML 6-1) and #6 Res Ipsa (ML 5-1).

Key Percentages

#1 Prudence (ML 5-1) … Listed jockey is winning at a 21% clip.

#2 Giada Vegas (ML 6-1) … Listed jockey is winning at a 17% clip.

#3 Havana Moon (ML 6-1) … Listed jockey is winning at a 21% clip.

Recent Trends

#3 Havana Moon (ML 6-1) … Horse is making first start since November 2016.

#7 Merry Memories (ML 30-1) … Horse is making first start since May 2016.

#12 Ellens Birthday (ML 20-1) … Horse is making first start since November 2016.

Overall View

One of my favorite races to bet, Allowance race on the turf with a ML favorite of 4-1. These types of races good priced horses always come out and very rarely is the wining the favorite at 3-1. In these types of races I look for speed, stamina and an outside post and #10 has all of those at a 6-1 ML price. I am also a big Billy Mott fan on the turf on a little bit of a drop. A horse that I left out of my tickets that has a chance to run a big race at a great ML price is #1. The horse should get out of the gate and run her ideal race sitting right off the pace. But the last time she started on the rail she got out great sat right off the pace and finished ninth, but that was a turf sprint not a mile long race. If you are willing to spend more money in trifectas or superfectas I would throw the 1 in the ticket. If you are a big pick 4 or pick 5 player, you could go deep in the race.

Picks: 10,2,3,6

 

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Sullivan Crotty

About Sullivan Crotty

Sullivan grew up two blocks from Saratoga Race Course, got involved with horse racing from his father at a young age, who used to breed and own race horses. Graduated from Christian Brothers Academy in Albany, NY. He played college football at Assumption College in Worcester, MA.

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