Capital OTB’s “Featured Race of the Day”

Every racing day, Capital OTB will be providing you with a “Featured Race of the Day”. We will identify the pace of the race, tactical advantages, key percentages, recent trends, and other helpful hints. All for the purposes of seeing you win big!

 

See below today’s “Featured Race of the Day”

Saturday 06-23-2018

Thistledown Race 9

1 1/8 M

The Ohio Derby GIII

Purse:$500,000

Pace Factor

The pace of the race should be set by #2 Flameaway (ML 5-2). The horses taking stalking roles should be #8 Machismo (ML 20-1), #7 Diamond King (ML 6-1), #6 Trigger Warning (ML 15-1) and #4 Caloric (ML 30-1). The horses that have shown closing speed are #10 Core Beliefs (ML 5-1) and #11 Dream Baby Dream (ML 15-1).

Key Percentages

#11 Dream Baby Dream (ML 15-1) … Listed jockey is winning at a 34% clip.

Recent Trends

#7 Diamond King (ML 6-1) … Only Horse in field with a win at the Distance

Overall View

The Ohio Derby is a twelve horse field at Thistledown and it is a very competitive field and a great betting race. Flameaway, the horse I liked in the Derby, is a very light Morning Line favorite in the race and offers great value. On paper, the Derby performance does not look great, but Flameaway ran a nice race and did not like the mud. Jose Lezcano, his usual rider, is in the irons and looks to make Flameaway be very competitive. The horse has run in the money four of five starts in 2018 and seven for ten lifetime. Mark Casse trains the horse and he is winning fifteen percent of his graded stakes starts. Lone Sailor comes into the race after a nice performance in the Preakness. The horse does have a nice closing kick and Irad Ortiz Jr. is making the trip to Ohio to ride Lone Sailor for trainer Tom Amoss. If Lone Sailor runs like he did in the Louisiana Derby, he will be tough to beat and you are getting a great price on the horse.

Picks:2-11-10-3

Sullivan Crotty

About Sullivan Crotty

Sullivan grew up two blocks from Saratoga Race Course, got involved with horse racing from his father at a young age, who used to breed and own race horses. Graduated from Christian Brothers Academy in Albany, NY. He played college football at Assumption College in Worcester, MA.

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